manu wr10:Can only be a good thing right? I'm no stock broker but raising money and paying off debts sounds like the right way to go. A question to someone informed: How long do you know/think/believe it will take to pay off the debt? This 64 mil pounds that is being quoted is fairly nominal is it not?
This is to yourself and Garp, it may seem like a drop in the ocean, well it's around 15% of the outstanding official debt BUT it takes us closer to the positive tipping point.
What I mean by that is that, assuming it works out, the debt is reduced by fair chunk, therefore the cost of that debt is reduced and as a result the club has more money left in the kitty over the following year to reduce the debt even further. The tipping point being that you are now getting at the debt amount rather than spending the majority just servicing the interest on that debt, the process then positively spirals/speeds up dramatically.
The clever part (if it works) is that the Glazers have already stated that dividends on the shares will not be paid in the immediate future, therefore that would mean that £64million worth of debt (which is in the form of the bonds) will be paid off meaning we are not paying the 8% bond interest/dividend on that £64million but neither do we for now have to pay dividends on the shares that paid the bonds down. So as explained above that's £64million's worth of 8% interest/dividend you are not paying out next year and that money can be put towards paying off more debt.
As for the IPO being a "toe in the water" test, yes it is partly that but as for it being to establish a value of the club overall yes it will BUT I think there is a subtle difference to be observed here.
I think it is a small enough IPO for the Glazers to not just 'find out' a value but maybe more 'create' a value.
Now I maybe wrong of course but I think there will be enough interest in this smaller amount of shares for them to acheive a high enough price to 'create' the £2billion+ company value the Glazers are hoping/pushing for.
If they can acheive this valuation then it puts them in a very strong position as a brand/company when it comes to generating more revenue from sponsors/partners etc.
They may release more shares after this but they will not release so many as to damage to companies overall valuation, they will just continue to reduce the debt gradually over time but if all goes to plan and revenues continue to increase as they are doing then even without further shares being sold we could see the debts reduced to near negligible within 4 to 5 years, which is when the bonds mature (2017).
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